The Regime vs. Hormuz
A Space for Time
It appears that the regime in Tehran will succumb to all political and economic dictates, and in order to preserve its existence, it will ultimately concede all its demands, as well as its cards and proposals, even offering up the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for maintaining its political, social, and doctrinal-religious hold on power.
Therefore, we see it nonetheless mobilizing its proxies in the region: the Iraqi “Hashd” on one side, and the Houthis on the other, particularly as its front in Lebanon nears collapse and the exit of the “Party of Evil” (Hezbollah) from the regional system approaches, preceded by the movement “Hamas,” following increased suffocation imposed upon them by Damascus and its new regime.
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From here, the Iranian process of concessions began in earnest, in an attempt to correct the course of its negotiations with Gulf Arab states regarding the future of relations, especially concerning the Strait of Hormuz and the shipping lanes in this vital artery.
From this point, Tehran began maneuvering around the issue of trading Hormuz for the survival of its faltering regime, seeking to extricate itself from its domestic, regional, and international crises.
Does the world recognize this stalling tactic by the Tehran regime? Or does the Iranian people, across its various ethnicities, political affiliations, and social and religious sects, grasp the dimensions of such overt political delay? How much longer will this people hold its breath without effective popular or political mobilization, either domestically or abroad, through the regime’s opponents here and there?
Today, we are monitoring every step of change or reform in Tehran, wondering how the veil will be lifted from the regime’s game of time-wasting. We ask: What comes after the anticipated meeting between Gulf officials and Iranians on Gulf and Arab soil directly relevant to the Strait of Hormuz?
Therefore, we say the test is straightforward; we do not overcomplicate matters, because the people of the Gulf, from north to south, are the masters of the seas and will not relinquish Hormuz so easily.
We await the final outcome before moving forward... and God is the Helper.
A Kuwaiti writer
