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alseyassahAll Opinions By ياسمين الرفاعي

Why are countries shifting from global models to regional frameworks?

Why are countries shifting from global models to regional frameworks?

Competition in the age of artificial intelligence is no longer just about the speed of technology adoption, but about the ability to control its strategic levers.

After years of believing that AI would lead to a boundless digital world, governments are now redefining their priorities, driven by a deeper question: Who holds the power to make decisions when technology becomes part of national security?

That phase is now behind us. Not because globalization has failed, but because governments have recognized a reality that can no longer be ignored: excessive digital dependence represents a strategic vulnerability.

After more than fifteen years of working with governments in the Middle East and North Africa on AI and digital transformation, I believe we are entering a radically new phase. Governments are no longer asking only how to adopt AI, but rather: Who controls it? Where is our data stored? And will our partnerships hold up under real-world stress tests?

These are not technical questions. They are questions of sovereignty.

AI does not operate in a political vacuum; it is shaped by legal systems, economic priorities, and societal values that vary from country to country. Therefore, there can be no single global model, because the geopolitical reality itself is not uniform.

What we are witnessing today is the rise of “regional AI sovereignty,” where governments make decisions based on their own priorities. Some countries focus on technological independence, others on reliable alliances, and others on accelerating innovation, but the strategic questions remain the same: Who controls our data, and who provides the computing power that runs our systems?

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And here emerges the most common misconception regarding this issue. Sovereignty does not mean isolation.

The strongest systems of the future will not be the most independent from the world, but those that understand their dependence on others and build their partnerships consciously. Strategic independence does not mean owning everything, but retaining the freedom to choose.

Gulf countries are uniquely positioned to lead this phase, thanks to their long-term national visions, investment capabilities, and geographic location. However, leveraging this position requires one condition: building reliable systems that balance openness with national interest, rather than turning inward.

Every day that passes without a clear answer to the question: Who governs your AI? is a day in which that answer is shaped by other parties.

The countries that will succeed will not be those that build the highest walls, but those that develop the strongest capabilities. Sovereignty is no longer about territorial control. It has become sovereignty of decision-making.

Engineer and writer

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