Global warming heading towards 2.6 degrees Celsius this century
A UN report warns of continued record emissions and the possibility of a 2.6-degree Celsius temperature rise this century.
Translated by Qiyas from الراي — Original source
A United Nations report released today stated that global greenhouse gas emissions remained at record levels in 2025, warning that the Earth could warm by 2.6 degrees Celsius this century even if governments meet their latest climate pledges.
UN Secretary-General António Guterres, launching the "Emissions Gap Report," said, "Emissions are still at record levels. National climate plans and current policies are dangerously inadequate, pointing to warming of between 2.6 and 2.8 degrees Celsius."
Although governments pledged to keep warming below 2 degrees Celsius and pursue the 1.5-degree target under the Paris Agreement, the report stated that any chance of staying within the 1.5-degree limit has been "lost" due to decades of insufficient climate action.
In a statement, Guterres said, "The world can no longer avoid exceeding the 1.5-degree threshold, and the consequences are already devastating... deadly floods, severe heatwaves, and raging wildfires, with lives lost, economies paralyzed, and inequality deepening. Those who suffer most and are hit first are those who bear the least responsibility for warming."
The report indicated that total global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025 were roughly equal to the record levels recorded in 2024, with a negligible difference between the two years that is difficult to pinpoint.
Carbon emissions from burning coal, oil, and gas—the primary driver of climate change—rose slightly in 2025 compared to the previous year.
The report warned that maintaining current policies would lead to a 2.8-degree Celsius increase in global temperatures.
