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aljaridaOpinion By أحمد يعقوب باقر

Winds and Pegs: What Exactly Does Iran Want?

Winds and Pegs: What Exactly Does Iran Want?

Following the outbreak of war between the United States and Iran, I was in one of Kuwait’s major diwaniyas. I anticipated that the conflict would end within a few weeks, given the assassination of most religious and military leaders and nuclear scientists, and the destruction—according to Trump’s statements—of the Iranian Navy, Air Force, and missile platforms. Indeed, the famous and puzzling memorandum of understanding was signed. However, it largely favored the Iranian regime, as it overlooked regime change and the destruction of infrastructure, waived the dismantling of all nuclear facilities, and limited itself to inspections to ensure their peaceful use. It also committed to releasing frozen Iranian assets. Yet, contrary to my expectations, Iran squandered all these gains and reignited the conflict, attacking Gulf states in a new attempt to expand the war. So, what happened?

Was Trump exaggerating his statements, driven by a sense of "euphoria" after the initial strikes? Or did he awaken to the reality of the Iranian regime’s interests in the memorandum and work to sabotage it?

It might be logical to attribute the American leniency in the memorandum to an old American desire to contain Iran, leveraging its mineral wealth, oil, and strategic location. This desire aligns with an old Russian ambition, expressed by Khrushchev in his time, who said: "Iran is a rotten apple that will fall into our hands someday." This leniency may thus be the result of a global rivalry between the two powers.

Another possible reason is Russia’s supply of new missiles and various military aid to Iran, as retaliation for American assistance to Ukraine in its war against Russia.

Another factor could be Iran’s belief that damaging the global economy by closing the Strait of Hormuz would force the United States to concede to further Iranian demands.

It might also stem from the ideological adherence to the dream of exporting the revolution, which Gulf peoples have rejected, or simply from a desire for revenge against Gulf states that repeatedly expressed a wish for good-neighborly relations with the Iranian people—some even participated in the funeral procession for Iran’s Supreme Leader.

All of this led me to feel that the trap was set to catch something far greater than a rabbit, and that larger plans are being drawn by Israeli Zionists, American Zionists, and the dreams of the Revolutionary Guard for the region.

It is clear that the collapse of the memorandum serves the Zionist position, which has remained unchanged since the beginning: regime change in Iran and reshaping the Middle East map. Contrary to Trump’s contradictory statements regarding Iran, the Zionist stance remained firm, despite some disagreements with the United States, as expressed by US Vice President Vance.

My conclusion is that Zionism has infiltrated all facets of the Iranian state, including the Revolutionary Guard. It has studied the Iranian ideology toward neighboring countries, and its intelligence agencies were behind all major assassinations within Iran. They were the ones directing and pressuring through their embedded agents to sustain the war, aiming to draw other countries into the Israeli alliance. It appears that the ideology and folly of the Revolutionary Guard, along with their ambitions, facilitated their mission, especially under Russian support.

In conclusion, time will reveal much of what has been hidden in the events and positions of this war. Here, as the Prophet (peace be upon him) did, we quote the poet:

The crucial point in these events is that the people stand united as one front with their armed forces, placing their trust in God through vigilance and caution against anything that might divide the Kuwaiti people. We ask God Almighty to have mercy on our martyrs, heal our wounded, and guide us to the straight path.

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